Dance with chance : making luck work for you / Spyros Makridakis, Robin Hogarth, Anil Gaba.

1. Three wishes from a genie -- 2. The ills of pills -- 3. Getting the right medicine -- 4. The chatter of money -- 5. Watering your money plant -- 6. Lessons from gurus -- 7. Creative destruction -- 8. Does God play dice? -- 9. Past or future -- 10. Of subways and coconuts: two types of uncertainty -- 11 {u01C2}t Genius or fallible? -- 12. The inevitability of decisions -- 13. Happiness, happiness, happiness

September 11th, 2001 saw the deaths of almost 3,000 people. However, it is less well known that an additional 5,000 US citizens died in the subsequent year as a direct result. These weren{u2019}t killed by terrorists and they weren{u2019}t war casualties. They were killed in car accidents caused by the shift from planes to road travel. People felt in control behind the wheel of their own cars while afraid of airplanes. This control, however, was not real and it resulted in many unnecessary deaths. In fact, this 2illusion of control3 dogs all aspects of human behaviour. We don{u2019}t like uncertainty, and we don{u2019}t know how to deal with it. So, we pretend that it isn{u2019}t there. Dance With Chance explores how luck operates in all aspects of human endeavour. Innovative and shocking, it examines the limits of predictability and demonstrates how, by abandoning the illusion of control, we can regain power over our future. Dealing with the core issues that matter to each of us {u2013} from happiness to success in our careers {u2013} it offers practical advice to attain mastery over uncertainty. A gripping tale of how even experts misread the role of chance {u2013} from the stock market to doctors{u2019} surgeries {u2013} the authors use statistics and logic to produce some counter-intuitive and controversial recommendations. From advising against health screenings to simple but highly effective investment strategies, Dance With Chance is truly revolutionary. It not only provides fascinating analysis, but also the advice needed to leave you healthier, wealthier and more successful.