Explaining the Iraq War : counterfactual theory, logic and evidence / Frank P. Harvey.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Introduction -- Comparative counterfactual analysis and the 2003 Iraq War -- Leadership, political context(s) and the Iraq War -- Democratic national security advisers -- Domestic and congressional politics -- American intelligence failures and miscalculations -- Societal pressures and public opinion -- International politics, global WMD consensus and UN power balancing -- Hussein's mistakes, miscalculations and misperceptions -- Summary and implications -- Conclusion.

The almost universally accepted explanation for the Iraq war is very clear and consistent {u2013} the US decision to attack Saddam Hussein's regime on March 19, 2003 was a product of the ideological agenda, misguided priorities, intentional deceptions and grand strategies of President George W. Bush and prominent 'neoconservatives' and 'unilateralists' on his national security team. Despite the widespread appeal of this version of history, Frank P. Harvey argues that it remains an unsubstantiated assertion and an underdeveloped argument without a logical foundation. His book aims to provide a historically grounded account of the events and strategies which pushed the US-UK coalition towards war. The analysis is based on both factual and counterfactual evidence, combines causal mechanisms derived from multiple levels of analysis and ultimately confirms the role of path dependence and momentum as a much stronger explanation for the sequence of decisions that led to war. {u2022} Combines factual and comparative counterfactual analysis as a new method of evaluating the relative strengths and weaknesses of competing explanations for the origins of the Iraq War {u2022} Outlines detailed and compelling evidence to confirm path dependence and momentum as stronger explanations for the war; combines causal mechanisms derived from multiple levels of analysis - leadership, domestic political, societal, institutional, organizational and international {u2022} A much richer historical account of US-UK strategies that goes well beyond simplistic, first-image theories of the war; the book engages (rather than ignores) the intellectual legacy of international relations and foreign policy theory.