Intelligence analysis : how to think in complex environments / Wayne Michael Hall and Gary Citrenbaum ; foreword by Patrick M. Hughes.

Includes bibliographical references (pages [427]-430) and index.

The operational -- The problem -- Solutions -- Setting the stage for advanced analysis -- Decomposition -- Critical thinking -- Link analysis -- Pattern analysis -- Trend analysis -- Anticipatory analysis -- Technical analysis -- Tendency analysis -- Anomaly analysis -- Cultural analysis -- Semiotics analysis -- Aggregation analysis -- Recomposition -- Synthesis -- Technology for advanced analysis -- On a system of thought -- Closing thoughts.

Intelligence Analysis: How to Think in Complex Environments fills a void in the existing literature on contemporary warfare by examining the theoretical and conceptual foundations of effective modern intelligence analysis{u2014}the type of analysis needed to support military operations in modern, complex operational environments. This volume is an expert guide for rethinking intelligence analysis and understanding the true nature of the operational environment, adversaries, and most importantly, the populace. Intelligence Analysis proposes substantive improvements in the way the U.S. national security system interprets intelligence, drawing on the groundbreaking work of theorists ranging from Carl von Clauswitz and Sun Tzu to M. Mitchell Waldrop, General David Petraeus, Richards Heuer, Jr., Orson Scott Card, and others. The new ideas presented here will help the nation to amass a formidable, cumulative intelligence power, with distinct advantages over any and all adversaries of the future regardless of the level of war or type of operational environment.