Environmental foresight and models : a manifesto / edited by M.B. Beck.

We have a problem ; Beginnings of a change of perspective ; Structural change : a definition ; The manifesto ; Epilogue / M.B. Beck -- Lake Erie and evolving issues of the quality of its water / W.M. Schertzer and D.C.L. Lam -- Impacts of acidic atmospheric deposition on the chemical composition of stream waterand soil water / G.M. Hornberger -- The ozone problem / R.L. Dennis -- Belief networks : generating the feared dislocations / O. Varis -- Random search and thereachability of target futures / M.B. Beck, J. Chen and O.O. Osidele -- Uncertainty and the detection of structural change in models of environmental systems /K.J. Beven -- Simplicity out of complexity / P.C. Young and S. Parkinson -- Structural effects of landscape and land use on streamflow response / T.S. Kokkonenand A.J. Jakeman -- Elasto-plastic deformation of structure / M.B. Beck, J.D. Stigter and D. Lloyd Smith -- Detecting and forecasting growth in the seeds of change / J. Chen and M.B. Beck -- Probing the shores of ignorance / R.L. D