War and the world economy : Trade, tech and military conflicts in a de-globalising world / William Jefferies.

Front Matter.

Chapter 1: Polycrisis and the Thucydides Trap.

Chapter 2: China’s Challenge to the West.

Chapter 3: The Collapse of the Centrally Planned Economies and the Expansion of Capitalism.

Chapter 4: The Long Wave of Globalisation.

Chapter 5: Hyper-Globalisation and the Laws of Political Economy.

Chapter 6: Rising Profits and the Great Recession.

Chapter 7: China—The New Great Power.

Chapter 8: Russia’s Collapse and Recovery and Iran and the Middle East.

Chapter 9: The War Potential of China and the U.S.

Chapter 10: The End of Globalisation and the New Period of Crisis.

Back Matter.

This book offers a deep-dive analysis of the period of globalization from the late 1980s to the present through the lens of long wave theory. It traces how the end of the Cold War transformed the base of the global economy, doubling the working-class producing profits, and its superstructure, reestablishing US monopolar dominance. It explores how the 'hyper-globalization' of the period up to 2008 has transitioned into a new long wave of de-globalization, stagnation and multi-polar conflict. The book focuses particularly on the looming and actual wars - in trade, tech, and military terms -intertwined with world economics as the twenty-first century progresses. The book addresses three overarching themes: globalization versus de-globalization, great power conflict versus cooperation, and trade/tech integration versus competition. It examines the shift from stagnating conditions in the late 1970s to the resurgent hyper-global capitalism of the 2000s after the integration of the former Centrally Planned Economies (CPEs) into the world market, leading to, but not ending with, the 2008 Great Financial Recession. Globalization is analysed in depth at both a national and global level, with insights on the diverging paths of US and China forming a central focus of the chapters. The book provides a comparative analysis of US and Chinese economic development and discusses how globalization inevitably produced de-globalization: reversing trends towards the integration of production, trade and finance that have defined the world economy over the last three decades. This book will be of interest to scholars and students in areas including political economy, macroeconomics, war studies, international relations and more.

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