Modelling our changing world / Jennifer L. Castle, David F. Hendry

Includes bibliographical references and indexes

1 Introduction -- 2 Key Concepts: A Series of Primers -- 3 Why Is the World Always Changing? -- 4 Making Trends and Breaks Work to Our Advantage -- 5 Detectives of Change: Indicator Saturation -- 6 The Polymath: Combining Theory and Data -- 7 Seeing into the Future -- 8 Conclusions: The Ever-Changing Way Forward

This open access book focuses on the concepts, tools and techniques needed to successfully model ever-changing time-series data. It emphasizes the need for general models to account for the complexities of the modern world and how these can be applied to a range of issues facing Earth, from modelling volcanic eruptions, carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures, to modelling unemployment rates, wage inflation and population growth.